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Comment by kristiandupont | Hacker News Reader

You think people will avoid the iPad simply because it doesn't support Flash? I think that will only apply to a very insignificant number of consumers.

As for the OS, I strongly disagree; running a SPOD-free OS is not a compromise, it is a crucial feature for devides like the iPhone and iPad (see http://daringfireball.net/2010/04/mobile_multitasking).

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Of course not today. There is no smartphone alternative that runs flash (today!). But let's skip forward to the end of the year and assume that by then Symbian, Meego, Blackberry, WebOS and Android will have flash support and it may work reasonably well (demovideos i have seen let me believe that). By then, the iPad may have a major marketshare. But, by then, a developer can write one application and target 5 major mobile OS and even all major Desktop OS with Adobe Air (keep in mind: Nokia and RIM sell a _lot_ of smartphones). For me, as a developer, i'd like to be able to use Adobes tools to create apps for most mobile phones. Eventually, in 2011 this will make an impact on sales. And in the end, there will be a lot of devices with a similar featureset to Apples products, with flash, without vendor lock in, probably even cheaper.

What's SPOD? daringfireball doesn't seem to work today, at least for me.

edit: Ok, google cache brought up the side. So, your single point why a Desktop OS doesn't belong on an iPad, is that it doesn't have a spinning icon indicating app startup? I wonder how that would work on a device without a mousepoint anyway. So, you are trying to tell me that _every_ iPad application starts instantly? Even bigger games don't have a loading screen? Could it be that iPad apps are rather small? Most apps i run on my Desktop start up instantly, except for bigger tools like an office suite, photoshop, video editors, eclipse, that wouldn't even run on the iPad.

Yes, perhaps when all those devices exist you will be able to write an application that runs on all of them, specially if you write an application that works on the oldest version of the OS as right now new phones are being released with widely different versions of Android. If your application does not try to match the particular look of a phone as each company is customizing the OS in a different way.

Each one of the platforms you mention are tiny in the application workspace right now. Palm is just about going under, Android is widely heterogeneous in implementation by manufacturers. If you are writing a game,the interface bit might not get in your way as games generally do not match the OS anyway.

All of this describes a very fragmented market. Now I will call your attention to a situation when many companies had their own implementation of what many considered a more powerful OS and one company had a simpler to use OS with a much larger number of applications.

Hummm... that happened in the 90s with Unix and Windows.

Well, iPhone OS looks a lot better now than Windows did then.

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