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I made this estimate as a follow-up for this discussion: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1315149. Please suggest how to make this more accurate, and whether you believe the assumptions above.

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I think a problem is that people will initially load up on apps and books when they first purchase something. I think I bought 7 books when I got my KindleDX in Jan. I have a few more on there already. However, the initial burst of the iPad sales and the sustained KindleDX sales numbers are incomparable at this point imho (unless you can get the data for the Kindle right after it came out?)

I wonder if there is a way to put in the newspaper & magazine that Kindle readers are getting -- though I am at work and my laptop is broken.

Interesting discussion, I plan to monitor closely.

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