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I'm no expert, but I did a bit of research into this since I live in California, and here's data that supports the parent's assertion: https://radicaloptimism.org/wiki/In_The_News#California_Drou...

It seems to me that the patterns fit within the historical norms for over 100 years.

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Sort of, the 5 year running average is well below the norm, which is an important metric as Dam's can't hold enough water to really average over ~50 years.

Further, because the lows are bound by 0, the annual average is rather deceptive.

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