but its actually really typical that when something becomes an advantage for being selected to a certain pool
the success of the those in the pool after the selection will negatively correlate with that thing
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the really obvious example of this is the hockey birthday thing from Malcolm Gladwell's Outliers
people with the earlier birthdays were more likely to make it past each selection stage in becoming an NHL player
but those with the later birthdays who were able to be selected in spite of their later birthdays, were typically more successful after the selection
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The authors contend that the strategy might actually work against a team's success because they found that players born later in the year and drafted later actually had more productive hockey careers.
Deaner said the study showed that men drafted in the second half of the year were about twice as likely to have successful careers in the NHL ??? reaching benchmarks like 400 games played or 200 points scored ??? than those born earlier in the year.
"If the team wasn't making this mistake, they probably would have been more successful," he said. "The guys born in the first part of the year are much more likely to be busts."
https://www.nhl.com/news/study-suggests-nhl-has-bias-in-favo...