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As Nest GM of security products Michele Turner noted during an event in San Francisco today, the number one way that burglars break into a house is simply through an unlocked door. But the most important thing that deters them is a security camera.

Interesting, I've read research that says the opposite - also based on interviews with convicted burglars. From "Protecting the Home: Exploring the Roles of Technology and Citizen Activism from a Burglar's Perspective":

Only two participants said they were deterred by cameras. The other thirteen participants stated that cameras did not concern them because they believed that most cameras were not constantly monitored, especially police cameras. Al- though a camera played a role in one participant’s capture (P4), others believed that most cameras did not have a high enough resolution for them to be identified. P12 was the only one to describe how he disabled cameras, saying “I know how to disable [cameras]. I’d spray it and stand on the garbage and go through the window.” Former burglars generally thought cameras did not increase their risk of being caught, which is consistent with prior work [15].

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