On the other hand, people ought to be used to Elon Time by now. That'd be a problem if the other car manufacturers were closer to catching up with Tesla, but it doesn't seem like that's the case.
On the other hand, people ought to be used to Elon Time by now. That'd be a problem if the other car manufacturers were closer to catching up with Tesla, but it doesn't seem like that's the case.
If you are talking about the self-driving car features, I would first state that Tesla doesn't have those either, and their marketing is a huge liability for them. Second, the major car manufacturer's are at least at the same place as Tesla, are further along, but due aren't as aggressive with bringing the tech to market until they have substantial confidence in it.
Judging the cars themselves there are still no real competitors. All of the upcoming cars are 3+ years away and still firmly concepts. The manufacturers speculating about 30-40k prices are banking entirely on a massive drop in battery cost that would affect Tesla too. Nobody is even pretending that they will be able to match Tesla's tech; I haven't seen a concept that expects better efficiency yet.
I'm gonna take special note of the Bolt here: it's an awful car that is totally incomparable to a model 3. First off it's a subcompact compared to a full sedan that weighs less. The bolt goes 0-60 in 6.3 vs 5.1 for the model 3, which is way more spacious and carries more cargo. The car's lead designer said it was "a disaster for aero"[1] and its drag coefficient is 50% worse than a model 3.
The model 3 is better in every way except having 18 miles less range, and I would even take issue with that. At highway speed a model 3 will get farther range every time- the EPA highway range weights towards 55 mph highway driving and gives massive advantages to large cars with awful aerodynamics. RCR hated the Bolt[2].
[1]: http://www.autonews.com/article/20160807/OEM03/160809904/gms...
Meanwhile every 120kW supercharger station I've seen has been doubling capacity and they've been adding stations at a breakneck pace. Heck you can now make the entire loop on the Olympic Peninsula now.
Chevy Bolt is the only reasonable competitor that comes close to Tesla, and Hyundai has a chance, everybody else is selling an overpriced toy. https://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/i8XLJOMH5GF... (the numbers in that figure do not reflect recent price drops on Model S vehicles)
[Citation needed], as they say on Wikipedia.
Lots of press releases have been issued, but only Chevy has released the Bolt.
Don't get me wrong: I'm a long-term optimist. But the long term may be distressingly long in getting here.
The eGolf is the same deal at the same price, but 52% as much power and 57% as much range. That's terrible! Compare the differences between the model 3 and model S: 85% the range, 68% of the horsepower, 56% of the cost. The model 3's performance is farther removed from the Leaf and eGolf than it is from the model S, but the pricing is totally reversed.
Don't forget Renault Zoe and Nissan Leaf, although they're aiming for the affordable subcompact market rather than luxury cars.
And yeah, the eGolf although I haven't seen any or maybe VW still prefers selling diesel Passats.
I'm still invested. :)
On the other hand - frankly, who cares ? Being late on announced dates, missing revenues targets etc - it doesn't change the big picture in any meaningful way. And the big picture is, that he is revolutionizing several industries and no one is even coming close.
Nissan are aiming to double global Leaf sales to 100,000 plus in 2018. That's just a production-line tweak for them. Then add all the other latecomers piling into the fray.
Being better isn't a substitute for being visible. Ask the average Euro driver to name an electric car that they saw in the last week and the majority will say Leaf or Zoe. Certainly not Model 3 which is due for Europe in 2020.