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That's why I said, "on popular routes" (I probably should have said "on busy days" instead). When the number of available seats runs low, the price quickly surges from 22€ to 48€ (or even higher). 48€ vs 75€ with Bahncard 50 is not a huge gap anymore. 150€ also is for "Flexpreis" which isn't really a 1:1 comparison.

Comparing both pricing models isn't really that straightforward, which is why I left it out of my initial comment.

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You are right, the pricing models are hard to compare 1:1. However, most Flixbus' customers can't afford (or don't want to afford) a Bahncard 50 and are very price sensitive. I've been travelling with Flixbus throughout Europe and the crowd is typically either very young or comes from the low-income strata of society. Anecdote ain't data, but that's what I also hear from the folks working there. Also, it has cost DB €10 billion to build the new connection, so they'll have to recoup that investment. Imho and as mschuster91 indicated, they will mainly steal customers from airlines.

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