The original data is from https://www.aaafoundation.org/sites/default/files/2011Pedest...
If you look, on page 9, you can see the plots of impact speed vs risk of death. They are clearly non-linear, and they you can also read that they tried various fitting methods for missing data (and quadratic best fit things).
I'm just guessing that you are confused because it does not appear the constant for the x^2 term is >1.