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Devil’s advocate: Financial freedom requires freedom from forceful confiscation. Thus, without a military backing of some sort, perhaps by the sovereign nation state the crypto’s owner resides in, cryptocurrencies will always be vulnerable to real-world regulations and bans.

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Forceful confiscation is pricey if you don't know whom to confiscate it from and how. A person may not have bitcoins. Or he might have it stored securely in another country to which he doesn't have immediate access. Those who have a lot already prepared themselves accordingly. And confiscating a little from many people is really pricey.

Confiscation is, as you've identified, fruitless. Only governments without level-headed leaders will try.

Global regulation remains a risk for cryptocoins. If the only remaining utility is the black/grey market, cryptocoins become much less valuable and will end up losing a lot of interest.

I agree that confiscation requires knowledge on who the owners are and rough amounts they own. With that knowledge, physical threats to demand exchanging cryptos for safety or freedom could be used quite efficiently depending on the laws and customs of each country.

The fact that the assets may not be easily traceable make them a more lucrative target for criminals to use unlawful threats against innocent owners as well.

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