The article discusses genetic post-meiotic changes that propagate differentially through the body. We knew it happened for a while now too, but it was always presented as a curiosity or an anomaly. We are now learning that it is much more common than we anticipated. Like presented in the article, it might actually explain some clinical phenotypes as well.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fraternal_birth_order_and_male...
"Secondly, the fraternal birth order effect operates through a biological mechanism during prenatal life, not during childhood or adolescence. Direct evidence for this is the fact that the fraternal birth order effect has been found even in males not raised with their biological brothers – it has been determined that biological brothers increase the odds of homosexuality in later-born males even if they were reared in different households, whereas non-biological siblings, such as step-brothers or adopted brothers, have no effect on male sexual orientation."
That is consistency with a "kin-selection" theory of homosexuality, that within a family, evolutionary factors favor having partially non-reproductive members in a family (perhaps because in a family with two males, on average, the total reproductive fitness is greater where there is one father and one uncle, not two fathers)
Furthermore, what math is so "clear", that you completely gloss over it?
> A gay person would have to result in their siblings having 2x as many children
Should have been:
> A gay person would have to result in their siblings having 2x as many additional children
Here's the math:
An individual's children have 50% of their genes. Their nieces and nephews share 25% of their genes. Therefore, if the hypothesis is that homosexuality evolved to promote the production of nieces and nephews at the expense of producing direct offspring, this adaptation would need to result in at least two nieces/nephews for each offspring that the homosexual individual would have produced directly.
So, if we assume a stable population where each couple produces 2 offspring, a gay person would be giving up producing 2 of their own children. In order for this strategy to break even, it would have to result in their siblings producing 4 offspring, in addition to the offspring that they would have had anyway.
Possible, but not likely.
On top of the math just being heavily stacked against this being an explanation, there are other reasons why it is unlikely:
1. If this were a successful strategy, you would expect to see a much higher prevalence of gay people than we currently do (<5% of the population).
2. There are already adults who take on this hypothetical role of assistant to the breeders: grandmothers. And they avoid the fertility tradeoff because they are evolved to stop being fertile at a certain point in their lives.
Nitpicking: We have the XY system but birds have the ZW system where the male birds have the chromosomes ZZ and the female birds have the chromosomes ZW (More info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sex-determination_system )
I still can't find out if in this case the male birds have a random inactive Z and are mosaic. I guess that there is something similar, but I'm not sure.
1: http://www.askabiologist.org.uk/answers/viewtopic.php?id=929...