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Comment by rory096 | Hacker News Reader

>On one hand, it's not desirable for most people to rent longterm, and owning property is an important way to store and grow wealth.

Neither of these are particularly true in an economic sense, except in that homeownership in growing, zoning-throttled areas is a ticket to the rent-seeking wealth transfer those supply restraints create.

Homeownership is driven by this effect, federal subsidies, and general social norms encouraging it, but it creates labor market frictions by tying you to a place and ties up all your wealth in a single asset.

https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2016/02/67...

https://www.economist.com/free-exchange/2010/04/21/rent-or-b...

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You can't live in or raise kids on a stock portfolio. If you're a single bachelor who moves wherever they can make 5% more every year, then by all means, rent.

Kids, spouses, and most people with friends, don't care to be constantly uprooted or at the mercy of a landlord who is likely to raise prices every year. Renting results in no value - it's a direct cost for never any gain. Even buying a house in a declining market will net you less loss then pure renting.

Does it tie up your wealth? No. It converts your wealth into a usable asset (a house). You can't build a shelter out of bricks of cash, or convert a money market account to a nursery.

I mean, it is certainly possible to be uprooted every year as a renter. But I've lived in two places for 14 years as a renter, and switching from one to the other was a significant upgrade. The first apartment was even rent controlled, so I was guaranteed a renewal lease at a controlled amount, and I had lots of protections.

In fact, it's renting that allowed us to upgrade our place when we had the opportunity, as we didn't need to sell our place in order to be able to buy a new one - we just moved our stuff over.

And to your point:

> It converts your wealth into a usable asset (a house). You can't build a shelter out of bricks of cash, or convert a money market account to a nursery.

You absolutely can do that - it's called "Renting" or "airbnb" or "subletting". The challenge is turning a usable asset back into a pile of cash if macroeconomic forces play against you.

As someone who generally agrees with you on the benefits of renting, my family has been uprooted twice in the past two years by landlords who wished to convert their assets into cash. And the most recent time, it was a forced downgrade due to rising rents. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

> Kids, spouses, and most people with friends, don't care to be constantly uprooted or at the mercy of a landlord who is likely to raise prices every year.

It does not have to be this way. My apartment is owned by a housing cooperative, and every renter is also a member of the cooperative. The cooperative is required to act in the best interest of all its renters, so while apartments are being redeveloped all the time (e.g. adding lifts to existing apartment blocks), rents are remarkably stable. And the cooperative literally cannot terminate my lease. Unless I misbehave, only I can terminate the contract.

(This is in East Germany. A lot of apartment blocks constructed in the GDR era are now owned by cooperatives like described above.)

You are wrong on the whole wealth issue.

If you are are renting, then you are paying significantly less than a morgage.

If you don't have a morgage, you can put a bunch of extra cash into investments that make more money than housing "investment".

And once that stock market investment increases, you can spend all that extra money you got on anything you want. You could even use it to buy a house! Probably even a bigger or more valuable house than if you "invested" in a morgage years ago.

One of the issues with home buying, and I hate this, is that banks are more than happy to help you take out a giant loan to help you buy a house. If you speculate correctly your gains are much higher.

I live in mine. The increase in value and dividends paid each year far outstrip my rent and bills.

>You can't live in or raise kids on a stock portfolio.

4% rule?

Turning cash into houses is a big business.

Why is a homeowner "tied" to a property? The only mitigating factors to real estate liquidity are temporary down markets and capital gains disincentives for flipping homes.

I know many people that buy and sell homes profitably on about the same timeline as renters move (less than five years). I myself have never owned a home for more than ten years.

By time you are on your third home you will probably be buying in cash and not even be tied down by a temporary mortgage.

1. You live in California with prop 13. You can lose out on significant property tax savings once you sell.

2. The cost of housing has risen significantly, compared to what you bought at. To sell your current house and buy an 'upgrade' would increase your mortgage bill, even if you dump the gain into the next house.

3. The higher barriers to moving since you have to list, sell, etc. While a renter can send an email and get a new place without much hassle. A renter can never be 'underwater'.

You do not "lose" when you sell in California, you collect gains and reset your cost basis. No different than collecting gains on a stock and buying another stock.

There is nothing requiring you to move into a property with higher taxes - you could substantially downsize or leave the state entirely.

Even if your costs and mortgage become more expensive, the tax system is still there to benefit you. The tax system will always reward home ownership. By time you are on your third house you will be paying cash, so even mortgage issues will go away. I don't know anyone on their third property who has a huge mortgage...maybe a small supplemental one but that is about it.

Not sure what the "barriers" to selling are...a good realtor will cover those details for you and in most parts of California, your house will sell very quickly, my last sale was less than ten days, about the same amount of time most renters probably spend looking for a new place.

> The tax system will always reward home ownership. By time you are on your third house you will be paying cash, so even mortgage issues will go away. I don't know anyone on their third property who has a huge mortgage...maybe a small supplemental one but that is about it.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Housing prices have risen faster than inflation in California over virtually any period ending today other than cherry picking the top of the housing bubble. Nothing says this will always be the case. Just ask the homeowners in Japan or in parts of the rust belt. I'm a homeowner in California but I also remember the last time everyone said housing prices only go up.

Furthermore, the tax system may not always reward home ownership. New caps on mortgage interest deductions are already affecting California houses although the effect is currently small. It used to be true that homeowners always itemized deductions. For 2018, it'll be about a wash for me as opposed to taking the standard.

Residential real estate has had an almost unbroken streak as a winning asset...not bad considering it also provides you with a necessary utility (a roof over your head), unlike a stock or a bond.

And yes, the tax system will always reward home ownership.

If you are older or disabled, you can potentially move and keep your base year value and move.

Alameda, Los Angeles, Orange, San Diego, San Mateo, Santa Clara, and Ventura counties all allow this.

Persons over age 55 or who are severely and permanently disabled may transfer the base-year value of a residence to a replacement dwelling in the same county, or in another county if the board of supervisors of that county adopts an ordinance granting base-year-value relief to replacement dwellings when the original dwelling was located in another county

> [Home ownership] creates labor market frictions by tying you to a place

I have never understood this line of reasoning. I agree that it increases friction, but there is a whole lot of friction that has nothing to do with renting vs. buying. Particularly friction in long-distance moves.

What is it that you don't understand about it? The two are not mutually exclusive. Economics works at the margin: it's not whether friction exists or whether it does not, but the level of friction. Some frictions apply in both cases, but the one mentioned only applies to ownership. Thus, two people at the margin in identical positions except that one is a homeowner and one is a renter may make different decisions — the renter is more free to change jobs/locale.

What about the "frictions" renters face based on a tax system that inherently rewards home ownership? How about the "friction" renters face by not turning their housing expenditures into a future retirement nest egg?

>What about the "frictions" renters face based on a tax system that inherently rewards home ownership?

I mentioned that. It's constant across the country though, so I don't think it creates a new cost to move from one place to another (the "friction"). Rather it's an ongoing subsidy on home ownership that incentivizes people on the edge to lean towards buying. More people buy because of the subsidy, who then have a higher one-time cost each time they move.

>How about the "friction" renters face by not turning their housing expenditures into a future retirement nest egg?

It's not clear to me that this is true, leaving aside places where rapid housing price appreciation due to supply restrictions dominate the cost of housing. Homeowners bear additional cost and risk - maintenance, insurance, interest on mortgage capital - that are part of the cost of rent. How much wealth accumulation results from acquiring home equity when you exclude tax and capital gains from demand shocks and include the transaction costs of buying and selling, potentially frequently?

I can tell you first hand that I bought a condo right at the start of the recession thinking I was getting a great deal, and subsequently lost my job in a round of layoffs. The next couple years I would have been better off if I’d moved but it took me three years to stabilize my situation enough to do it, mostly because I couldn’t sell and I couldn’t rent for enough to cover the mortgage, and I couldn’t afford two housing payments.

I don’t know how common that sort of situation is, but I can easily imagine a much milder version of it in today’s housing bubble, which is people who bought ten years ago and now feel that if they moved, yes they’d get some equity out, but not enough to move to a home that would be “as nice” in the destination they’re considering. For example suppose you work in software and bought a house in Dallas, but you’re getting all these great offers to move to SF...

I don't understand your second example at all. If you own a house during a bubble it seems like the ideal time to move. Sell your house to get the equity, move to a rental, then buy a house after the bubble pops.

The point of the example is you could own a nice 4bd 3ba in the Dallas area for $300-400k.

But say you work in software and your career has plateaued. It’s tempting to move to SF because there are so many great jobs. But you cash out your $60k of equity or whatever in Dallas and go look for housing in SF.... well, you’ll have to accept a significant lifestyle change and switch to renting. There are a lot of people who feel tied down by that deal and so don’t move even though it might be better long term to be climbing the ladder at a major company than to be maxed out in the best available local job you can get.

Or leave a particular metro. Or leave California.

If you are open to moving when you have to, most real estate problems are non-issues. Once you limit yourself to a hard requirement of living in a particular metro or state, you are subject to the market.

Everyone reading this can afford a home somewhere decent in the US, but you have to be willing to move.

How many people reading this in the Bay Area would even consider moving to Gilroy or Benicia? Not many I presume.

Selling a home and then buying a new one costs about 10% of the price of the home between closing costs and real estate commissions. That it on top of any costs to move that you would pay while renting.

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