If this has not been proved EXTREMELY WELL by events in recent history, I don't know when it would be - but whether from LTCM, or more recently seeing so many CDS etc blow up, it is obvious that many "once in a million" probability events exist than are considered in a proper normal distribution.
Mandelbrot was once asked whether he had any particularly successful strategies for dealing with the market. He said, well, I don't discuss those things - because if I was correct, everyone would follow my lead, and the strategies would no longer work; and if I was wrong, people would discredit the thinking behind it!