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Comment by stevespang | Hacker News Reader

Impeachment will never happen. If you study recent history, an impeachment attempt on Trump will go down just like it did on Clinton - - strictly along party lines. The Clinton vote was razor accurate along party lines when it happened. No majority means no impeachment.

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You are thinking of conviction by a super majority. Clinton was impeached by the house but was later acquitted in the senate.

That's assuming the republicans remain cohesive, which assumes a unified voter base. It played that way in the Clinton impeachment for sure. That hasn't always happened historically. Nixon looked solidly in power until all of a sudden he didn't (though of course he resigned before any votes were cast on impeachment).

I agree I wouldn't put money on Trump being removed, but neither would I be shocked if it happened. Things are more complicated than a whip count.

Clinton was impeached.

..by the Republican majority House of Representatives. It can be roughly equated to being charged with a crime. The Senate held a trial and voted for acquittal and therefore no action was taken. Two thirds of the Senate must vote to remove a President from office.

Correct. But the OP was stating that impeachment would never happen and pointing to what happened with Clinton. But impeachment is exactly what happened with Clinton. And the prediction does not state that he will be removed from office by the Senate, but that he will resign after impeachment to avoid prosecution. This is an entirely reasonable prediction based upon current and historical events.

The case against Clinton was flimsy and grasping at straws, whereas the case against Trump looks to be incredibly damning. I think that'll make a difference this time, though party lines have become even more ingrained...

Clinton lied under oath. That wasn’t flimsy, it was fact.

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