-1 all you like. It's engineering, not hindsight -- when building a system, I always ask myself "how does this scale" which usually translates to "on what attribute does this shard".

Look at e.g. YouTube and many other sites around the same time. They knew what they were doing; Twitter didn't.

I _have_ actually designed such a system in 1999, that used 48 bits, and it worked perfectly well. (Only had 28 bits for the user-id, which would have been broken at the 250M users -- alas the system never had more than than 5M; This was in the years 1999-2003).

The only way you can shard absolutely monotonic is (effectively) randomly, which is an option however you assign ids; but other assignments let you build a much cheaper, much more robust system.