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Comment by burgerbrain | Hacker News Reader

And I will eat my pants.

Seriously, I live downtown in a city with a disproportionately large techie population and I rarely see these things in public. 12% is crazy-high, particularly when you consider that nearly everybody that owns one also owns a conventional PC as well. Maybe I'll give you that 12% of PC owners will own an ipad, but that's not the same thing.

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Keep in mind that "PC market" means the total number of PCs sold in 2011. And many people who currently own PCs aren't buying new ones (I'm typing this on a 4-year-old Dell laptop and I don't have any need to replace it).

This is why its not a PC, many people will already have a PC/Laptop they are happy with but like the idea of an iPad for consuming media. Its really only the day when users decide iPad instead of Laptops that it really becomes a PC. For some people this will be enough. Its desire as a consumable/entertainment device really sets it in a market of its own.

Also keep in mind that "PC market" includes corporate purchases, not just home consumers.

The point is that tablets are themselves making the market a lot bigger than it is now and that the iPad will get a disproportionately big chunk of the new pieces of pie.

From tfa:

>> If we include tablets in our PC unit forecast, then our estimates suggest Apple’s combined iPad and Mac market share would reach 12 percent in 2011.

That is not what you argue against (and it also contradict the submission's title, sigh.)

This was written on an iPad, btw. :-)

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