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If the popular vote favored, say Trump, and if California could change the election by pulling out of the compact, they would. In a heartbeat.

That's why I'm not too worried about it. If it would really change the result, it's easy for a State to hit the pause button.

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> it's easy for a State to hit the pause button

Is it that easy? It's a compact, not trivial to pull out of.

The US constitution says that presidential electors are chosen in a manner prescribed by the state legislature. They change the prescription, just as some have changed it now.

Let's see:

- Enough states pass this for it to be in force in 2020.

- Trump wins the popular vote in 2020. However, he would not have won an EC vote because of California and New York.

- California decides to renege on the compact, and votes for Biden instead.

- A bunch of red states sue California. Long before the court cases go anywhere, Biden takes the oath of office.

And what then?

The compact explicitly requires a much longer notice period than the time between Election Day and Inauguration Day if you want to pull out.

And if they don't abide by that? Then what? Who's going to enforce it, and through what mechanism?

Bush v. Gore was decided more than a month before inauguration. Why would this take much longer?

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