This reminds me of a discussion on a mailing list where someone pointed out the most amazing scam.
You find 256 people and email them the details of a 50/50 prediction. 128 people should get the right prediction. You then email them another 50/50 prediction. Of course, 64 of them receive the right prediction twice in a row. You then make a third 50/50 prediction to the 64, another to the 32 positive responses and so on until you find a manageable number of people who now believe you have some amazing insight into the future.
As much as we may want to think things are not random, sometimes they really are, sometimes they're just probabilities.