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the problem with official data is that it fits a quadratic curve so well it's hard to believe it's true.

https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/ez13dv/oc_...

"Hey Xi, what's going on, this latest batch of infected is enormous! Is there something going on? We need to get on this now!"

"Oh whoops, we accidentally sent you next week's numbers."

Oh my WTF, they plonked the numbers into a quadratic and have so far predicted 5 days of deaths accurately.

Couldn't it just be that the virus, and the epidemic, simply behave like the are supposed to?

i'm not sure if we know how the novel coronavirus 2019 is supposed to behave.

because there are already Coronaviruses out in the wild. AFAIK causing quite a lot of colds every year. Then we know a lot about SARS and MERS. And the new Corona virus is having the shit anlyzed out of it. Plus We know a lot about epidemics in general.

So no, we don't have to reinvent the last couple of centuries regarding epidimiology research, everytime a new disease springs its head somewhere, and every "data scientist" on the internet tries to fit it in some kind of model without the necessary domain knowledge.

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