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It's 12 years apparently

https://conservativehardliner.com/sites/default/files/styles...

People have been predicting the end of the world based on inference from their faith in a priori positions for a long time...

People don't pay attention long enough. We have 20 solid years of non-stop doomsday predictions, all of which were wrong. Nobody pays any attention to this, they just go right on believing all the new baseless doomsday predictions. Meanwhile actual looming disasters are ignored.

The return on energy investment for oil dropped from 20:1 to 12:1 in 15 years.

What you're arguing for is normalization of deviance.

> ten years

Your words not mine.

Problem is you guys thinks real technology moves as fast as you guys reinvent web frameworks.

It doesn't. Developing real technology and rolling it out takes decades.

It cuts both ways. Problem is you guys think that technology is not going to move at all. It will.