My point: Civ4's tactical combat simply isn't rich enough to represent things like the Battle of the Bulge, where a breakout offensive could give the Germans a fighting chance for a few more weeks.
-------
And yes, tactics are ultimately secondary to production. That doesn't change the fact that the Romans had to fight the Gauls while outnumbered in Battle of Alesia or Carthage's Battle of Cannae.
These sorts of events aren't really going to happen in Civ4. The tactical engine and decision making in Civ4 is just too shallow to have something like that ever occur.
So Carthage were going to lose against the superior Roman production eventually. That doesn't make Hannibal's win at the Battle of Cannae any less interesting.