disclaimer I think the contributions are super useful for science but they do come with worries as does every path of discovery
disclaimer I think the contributions are super useful for science but they do come with worries as does every path of discovery
I think the why is pretty clearly understood (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Protein_folding), in the same way that we understand the mechanism behind the three body problem in physics or quantum computing. But that does necessarily imply that there is an efficient way for us to simulate/predict the results of having nature play out those mechanisms.
The second is that explainability in ML is much more tractable than it was 10 years ago. This is not to say that it's solved, but having solved the predictive problem -- I would expect model simplifications and SME research to proceed more quickly towards understanding the how now. I did some work w/ an Astrophysics postdoc using beta-VAEs [2] to classify astronomical observations, and simplifying models in order to achieve human-explainability proved to not cost as much predictive power as you might expect. It might be that the same holds true here.
This isn't something specific to AI, but science itself. We know the value of C, but now why the value is C, sure we can point to something like the Lorentz transformation, but we can't and probably won't even be able to explain why it has these particular constants, we just know that we can measure them and they are this.
Science isn't in the business of answering why. A successful scientific theory does two things, A) Makes useful predictions, B) Is correct in its predictions. It'd be wrong to call a NN a scientific theory, but it certainly does make predictions and as these results show, it is correct in its predictions.
Sometime soon, humanity is going to have to come to terms that we will soon (or perhaps already have) enter an age where mankind is not the only source of new knowledge. AI-derived knowledge will only increase as the future unfolds and the analysis of such knowledge will likely become it's own branch of study itself.
I agree as long as science is a business. But why is science a business?
If science is not meant to answer why, does this mean we cannot know why?
should we just give up on having story-like (narrative) explanations for why and how things work? it seems like we are headed to a world where the computer just tells us what to do and where to go. a world in which we are free from having to think about why we are being told to do whatever it is we're doing. click (or tap) buttons, get tokens to buy food and pay rent.