"the probability of Joe Biden winning the popular vote in the four states independently given President Trump’s early lead in those States as of 3 a.m. on November 4, 2020, is less than one in a quadrillion."
This seems to indicate fraud.
* First of all, a quadrillion is a h(u^15)ge number! So right off the top, the notion that Biden's chances of winning these four states were that low, is w(a^15)y out of alignment with the roughly 50-50 split between Dems and Reps. Given no additional information, Biden's chances of winning four 50-50 states are 1 in 16, not 1 in 1,000,000,000,000,000.
* Second, this idea that Trump had a lead "earlier in the night" is meaningless, because the vote counting was not evenly distributed. Votes were group by county, by method of voting, etc. Each grouping has a bias. Some counties are heavily Rep or Dem. Mail-in ballots obviously favored Dems because Trump spent the last few months telling his followers not to use them.
* Third, why is this "3am" cutoff meaningful? The legitimacy of the ballots does not depend on the order in which they were counted, so wallclock-time is irrelevant. Otherwise, if the ballots had been counted in reverse order I could sit here and claim that Trump cheated because Biden's lead shrank sharply after 3am.
Hopefully you are not in charge of IT security?
BA Colorado College, PHD Rutgers, post-grad work at Wisconsin in applied economics and econometrics. His career is in economics and environmental studies. Well-educated, but not in statistics.
He spent 3 years in the 1980s at the Kennedy School doing energy and environmental policy. This is all in his statement filed by Texas.
He states that there is no reason more people would vote for Biden in 2020 vs voting for Clinton in 2016, so it must be rigged.
He states that the votes tabulated late at night can't have been from the same sample of voters as the votes tabulated earlier in the evening, so it must be rigged.
His argument is that an election is identical to a giant bag with millions of balls, some of which are red and some are blue. Each vote is nothing more than pulling one of the balls out of the bag and looking at the color. The proportion of red balls to blue balls was determined in the 2016 election, and the 2020 election should have the same proportion but more balls.
It's completely wrong.
And why were they counted after election day? In some of the swing states, including Pennsylvania, it was because Republican legislatures outlawed counting them as they came in.