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I agree, it does disincentivise people from committing similar crimes to a certain extent, but I think what it often does is shift people to different kinds of crime. In the pandemic, burglaries dropped significantly, presumably because people were home and the perpetrators didn’t like the idea of being caught. However, scams have risen sharply.

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Certainly possible. I don't know what the mapping would be there, and whether it is 1 to 1.

> In the pandemic, burglaries dropped significantly, presumably because people were home

I would have expected that to be the case too, but in fact in the US there's been a rise in burglaries during the pandemic.

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