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> if cutting subscription fees on the Play Store forces Apple to cut their take on the App Store by half

Will it though? Or will the fee just become another "premium" differentiator between the two? The average Android phone sells for $250, but that hasn't discouraged Apple from pricing iPhones at 3-5x that. Other than strong government regulation (or the threat of it), I don't see Apple ever willingly reducing the App Store tax.

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Apple reduced their "App Store tax" in 2020 from 30% to 15% for small businesses i.e. the majority of app developers.

https://www.apple.com/au/newsroom/2020/11/apple-announces-ap...

For the majority of app developers, but almost surely for a small minority of their app store revenue

One of Apple's arguments in the Epic case was that 30% was standard; if it's not, it makes it look worse to courts and potential regulators.

Even if Google decides to become the exception, there are other stores on other platforms using 30% commissions for it to still be considered the standard.

https://www.ign.com/articles/2019/10/07/report-steams-30-cut...

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