Immunity from exposure and s highly variable, it could be 3 months, it could be 3 weeks. Immunity from vaccine is more deterministic, but still limited. We will probably need at a yearly booster.
COVID is burning out workers everywhere, especially in the medical field. A lot of the quitting isn’t related to vax status, people are just tired and they don’t feel they get paid enough for the job they are doing.
Hospital capacity will take years to increase. At least 4 to raise nurse/doctor class sizes, probably longer since you need to expand the training programs as well. We also already spend 18 percent of our GDP on healthcare, going to 30 percent is going to hurt, but if people don’t want to get vaccinated, maybe we can just charge them higher insurance premiums to make up for it?