Here, let me throw one in the true pile for the benefit of the true/false ratio: near the end of 2022, someone on HN will post a thread along the lines of "Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?".
This represents a sun will rise tomorrow type bet, though obviously not nearly as guaranteed but still looking good!
This is awesome because it generates a fun paradox.
no it doesn't, it is only guaranteed to generate a fun paradox if the prediction was "all predictions will be false".
The paradox would be “this prediction will be wrong”
“All predictions are false” could be wrong, because other predictions are right even though some are wrong.
yes you're right, although I think my example is more likely to exist than the previous.
Earlier there were only about 5 comments, two of which involved this "most predictions here will be false" - however one was sadly deleted and nobody else decided to play ball :D