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WithinReason

"The possibility that the suspicious signal is some kind of radio interference is also very high"

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This was a very honest sentence in this article, in stark contrast to the title.

The currently headline in the report they link to is

https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/BtLLCb0GlPxjmhbAz5pUOw

> 搜寻地外文明，“中国天眼”发现可疑信号

Which google translates as

> Searching for extraterrestrial civilization, "China Sky Eye" found suspicious signals

Sounds reasonable.

It's true that it may have been aliens, it's just an extremely low probability.

I’m genuinely curious. I would agree it’s possible that either could be true but how exactly would you even begin to speculate let alone calculate the supposed probability of either possibility?

It was never aliens before, so the prior is very strong

Wouldn’t the probability that the next time it would be aliens increase every time it turns out to not be aliens

Actually it would decrease

Guerrilla marketing for The Dark Forest ?

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