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I also could claim 20,000,000 lives were saved by natural immunity. Or vitamin D from sunshine. Or the placebo effect.
All of those mentioned are also not provable.
You have no idea what you are talking about or how empiricism works. It's laughable.
The best data in the world tells us that 20 million lives were saved. Saying "No it didn't" is not an impressive or persuasive response.
If anyone could, they would have already and wouldn't have to resort to nonsense theoretical computer models.
VERY interested in your attempt though gets out popcorn