Honestly I don't think you'll get good faith considerations on whether we're heading into a recession. Anecdotally, I'm trying to buy a house in Portland. I stopped being so aggressive as I watched prices start falling by tens of thousands. I got a call from Rocket Mortgage the other day where they tried to convince me that market prices won't change and I should buy
now at a rate of 6.5%. This is an incredible departure from reality and similar to what I hear from real estate agents.
This is a company that I know previously to be quite ethical, yet here they are doing dirty tricks. Market falls can be a threat to companies, but by engaging with propaganda trolls can influence the market and make money. Read any mortgage or real estate propaganda and you'll see they're all using the same words, false comparisons, etc. Maybe the true signal of a recession is the defiance of admitting there is a recession.