I’m not a fan of speculation for things so easily measurable.
https://electrek.co/2022/01/12/government-data-shows-gasolin...
It also tries to combine data with hybrid vehicles with ICE vehicles because they also have a gas component. They don't do the same with EV, even though hybrids also have an battery component. There is no attempt to distinguish if the fires were caused by the gas or the battery in those cases.
When I see a study fudge the numbers in one area, I am suspect of all the numbers it presents.
https://www.autoinsuranceez.com/gas-vs-electric-car-fires/
The orange and purple colored chart.
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Figure 10 shows that roughly three-quarters of the highway vehicle fires reported in the US in 2017 that were caused by mechanical or electrical failures (77 percent) involved cars with model years of 2007 or earlier. This was true for only 54 percent of the fires resulting from collisions or overturns. As vehicles age, parts wear out, extended maintenance plans expire, and maintenance can be overlooked. Consequently, it is not surprising that vehicles that are at least 10 years old are at greater risk of a fire started by a mechanical or electrical failure or malfunction.
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- Source: https://www.nfpa.org/-/media/Files/News-and-Research/Fire-st...
On EV's, their opinion was mostly summed up as such: "Mechanical and electrical fires, the most common fires in ICEVs, become more common as the vehicles age. EVs have not yet reached the ages where these conditions are more commonly seen."
So at least for me, I'd be somewhat hesitant to take Electrek claim's at face value.
With gasoline you can put it off using water, while for EVs water will actually make the fire worse and you'll need special compounds to turn it off.
Water is perfectly fine to use on lithium-ion battery fires. It cools down the battery eventually stopping thermal runaway. A strategy I've seen is to submerge the battery pack in water. There's also water additives that help dissolve some of the chemicals in lithium-ion batteries.
Note that lithium-ion (and similar) batteries only contain a small amount of polymerized lithium, unlike lithium batteries which contain raw lithium and thus react with water.
As for probability, why are you assuming they'll be more dangerous?
An analogy: if a Cessna is more survivable in a crash than a jumbo jet but the jumbo jet crashes 100x less, you still want to be flying on the jumbo jet.
Also I wouldn't say the car being in motion is a convenient time to have a fire. You're often not just standing there with a fire extinguisher handy.
1. https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/ford-i...
Fuel leaks, electrical shorts, you name it. A lot more frequently than EVs too.
It’s why garages are required to have auto closing fire doors.
Youtube search "bridgehill fire blanet"