Same here. There’s not enough uranium demand to look at current production and extrapolate on anything. Uranium is abundantly available and more demand = higher prices = more sites becoming available. There’s also more esoteric things like extracting uranium from ocean water but even that’s not necessary. So no, the west is not screwed on uranium supplies.
I do agree about the brain drain though. That’s criminal levels of negligence by politicians.
IMO it's more just that politicians are old, climate change is a young persons concern and that's all there is too it.
"In the United States, there is only one uranium conversion facility — it’s in Metropolis, Illinois — and it has been on standby since November 2017. Its reopening is “pending market improvement and customer support,” according to a power point presentation from the partnership between General Atomics and Honeywell that operates the plant, ConverDyn. It won’t be able to return to operability until 2023, when it could convert 7,000 tons of uranium per year. To ramp up to 15,000 tons per year, it will take the one plant longer than 2023.
Therefore, Dabbar and Bowen said it would be prudent for the United States to wean off Russian refinement capacity “a period of years not months.”"
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/23/russia-dominates-global-nucl...
they should have prepared 20 years ago, western countries are busy changing politics every 4-5 years, and their market is busy trying to make profit out of nothing instead of investing in core infrastructures and civilizational projects like energy independence
https://www.world-nuclear-news.org/Articles/US-BWR-to-receiv...
Given how those "greens" seem to make the west more dependent on China maybe they should be called "reds" instead.