Newer observations suggest 200 billion with an average of 100 million stars per galaxy and 3-10 planets per star. 60,000,000,000,000,000,000 planets on the low end? Yeesh.
It seems plausible that getting the sustained chain reaction of life going in a soup of organic molecules and not immediately interrupting it may be at least as unlikely as randomly guessing a 256 bit password, in which case it will certainly never have happened a second time in the volume of space time we call the “observable universe”.