To this day I'm shocked at how much time that ate up. Expecting leaders to understand statistics was unlikely to work, and we shouldn't be surprised that 5 statisticians paid handsomely to solve the problem came up with ways to occupy their time.
To this day I'm shocked at how much time that ate up. Expecting leaders to understand statistics was unlikely to work, and we shouldn't be surprised that 5 statisticians paid handsomely to solve the problem came up with ways to occupy their time.
I'll also note you don't really explain "error rate of 2%." Do you mean, all 600 data measures are continuous variables, of which, each measured result may be off by 2% (or 2% is the std dev?), or are these discrete or binary measures, of which 2% are entirely wrong?
I used to barbecue using my experience(eyeballing it), and many times I was getting food cooked pretty well, but it was very unpredictable.
After I bought remote thermometer I consistently cook my food to perfect temperature.
To extend your metaphor, imagine if you were constrained to only visually asses the food. Your fancy new remote monitoring system is simply a camera that allows a stupidly expensive pitmaster view your food and make an expert assessment. The result might get a little better, but it’s (probably) never going to be as good as using an actual thermometer.