Software engineering will never be the same. The LLM will teach its users about programming. This is the worst LLM tech will ever be. That is an incredible statement. The rate of error will decrease to near zero or at the very least significantly better than human. Universities will resist at first but the new tools that will emerge will be core curriculum at university. Just as I now don't use the pumping lemma day to day, programmers of the future will not write code. They will primarily review and eventually AI systems will adversarially review and programmers will do final review.

All programmers will become translators from product vision to architecture implementation via guided code review. Eventually this gap will also be closed. Product will say: Make a website that aggregates powerlifting meet dates and keeps them up to date. Deploy it. Use my card on file. Don't spend more than $100/month. The AI will execute the plan.

Programmers will come in when product can't figure out what's wrong with the system.

You must kill one in hand to hand combat before you can take their place.

Given how quickly everything around generative AI has been evolving, would your money be on a new junior SWE becoming a senior SWE first or LLM tooling gaining senior SWE capabilities first?

just start new instances from the base image or useful checkpoints

"The Age of Em" by Robin Hanson thinks through a lot of this in great depth

In a pod.