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Lots of reasonable people seem to hold this view. Sam Altman himself mentioned believing this in the Lex Friedman podcast.

Here are tweets from famous HN users Simon Willison[0] and Patrick Mckenzie[1] endorsing the viewpoint as well.

[0]: https://twitter.com/simonw/status/1639692312585572352

[1]: https://twitter.com/patio11/status/1639787193580519424

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I hope they are right. But one thing that seems to be conflated in this debate is the comparison of AI with previous disruptions. The tools we have built before were taking some specific parts of the process and making it more productive. They were not trying to mimic human cognition in a way that can be applied to so many different processes at the same time.

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