You're right that it's a logical conclusion given what's actually happening, but your examples aren't the reasons why people are starting to realize this.

Eg, a mystery entity blew up the nord stream 2 pipeline and caused so much methane to be released, that years worth of past and future carbon progress have been erased.

When people see that no one important cares about that because Russia is naughty, and people are still going on about your neighborhood design, what else is there to conclude?