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Comment by nl | Hacker News Reader

> With the effective implementation of AI, it could potentially boost the nation’s GDP by 50% or more in a short time.

Err.. No, it won't.

That's a ridiculous, laughable statement.

  Japan 2022 GDP: $4.1 Trillion
  
  Amazon 2022 Revenue: $513B
  Google 2022 Revenue: $279B
  Microsoft 2022 Revenue: $198B

So even growing a brand new Amazon, Google and Microsoft in "a short period" would be insufficient to grow GDP by 50%

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Comparing the revenues of tech companies to the gdp of a country, even to give a sense of scale is comparing apples to oranges.

Even if a bit unlikely, I would not be completely surprised if the service industry as a whole produced twice the value its produces today thanks to AI in the next 20/30 years. Not to mention the productivity gains in other sectors.

Company revenue is probably the closest analogy of a country's GPD though. It's a rough measure of the money circulating in the company/country.

And GPD made us of: "goods and services produced for sale in the market..." which is fairly roughly the sum of all companies' revenue.

> I would not be completely surprised if the service industry as a whole produced twice the value its produces today thanks to AI in the next 20/30 years.

Sure. 20/30 years is Google's age so make sense.

I don't think 20 years is particularly short term though and 30 years certainly isn't.

yeah. There are countries growing at 7% annually, but they're mostly in Africa. Niger, Rwanda, Congo, etc.

But please for the love of God, don't compare GDP to revenue.

GPD is made up of the sum of revenue in a country though. It's not unreasonable to point out the scale in comparison to existing companies.

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