Exactly. It's 0.92% of the 38,000 car crash deaths in the US annually. I agree, this is noise and honestly it doesn't make sense the NHTSA would even consider a mandatory "safety" feature like this for that small of an expected change. Personally, I will not be purchasing a car with this feature until I'm forced to.
Feel free to look at the numbers in the PRIA [1]. Those 360 deaths are a significant reduction in fatalities from baseline in the types of collisions they expect to be impacted by this rulemaking. That baseline itself assumes some 65% of new vehicles will come with compliant AEB systems regardless of this rulemaking.
Was that determined by looking at the statistics or is this just your gut-reaction?
>>> math.sqrt(42939.0)
207.2172772719495
Not quite pure statistical noise but close.
I literally do not care about 360 deaths. Now if we get to 361 deaths, I am concerned and will raise my pitchfork.
Another interesting question is how many of the other 24,000 crashes were serious. And how many additional crashes wouldn’t have been avoided but would have had a lot of kinetic energy removed before impact.