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I've never met a single person claiming it will cause mass unemployment in 6-12 months. But the impact of ~ChatGPT 10.0 in 5 or 10 years from now? It's a lot more believable given its current state. My anecdote is that everyone is concerned about what it will do in the future gives its current proof of concept.

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I've heard people make claims about it being 'not far off', but in my experience, these people tend to be making a living from speaking on AI (or previously Blockchain) and don't have any actual technical credentials.

I personally think there's a number of reasons why we may be coming up on an AI plateau that we may not get out of for a long time, but that's a different matter.

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