The capital class is good at working in its own interest and it has a lot of leverage to do so.
Any serious manager has projects and tasks for the workers, and a realistic idea of what can be accomplished. If they are handing out those tasks and resources, and work of sufficient quality is getting accomplished on time, they recognize that it does not matter if the person is in the office across the hall, in their home office, or on the beach in Bermuda.
(And if the manager is giving so little work that the worker can take two jobs, but quality work is getting done at a sufficiently profitable rate to justify that job, so what if the worker is 'moonlighting'?; the manager is getting what they need at a market rate, and has a happier employee)
Good managers also have the advantage of being able to hire from a global talent pool instead of a ~1-hour-commute radius from each office, and drastically reduced office real estate costs. Those are REAL competitive advantages that of which the smart CEOs will take advantage.
Sadly, most are not that smart, and the RTO movement is proof.
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-66217641
And according to this the extreme tactics only destroyed Twitter, they did not even achieve an actual return to office.
https://archive.md/GvzCX (original link: https://fortune.com/2023/03/24/return-to-office-elon-musk-tw... )
Add to that that Twitter is now letting go of office space as well. Now some of that is due to layoffs, but it could also mean Mr. Musk is not even expecting RTO to work at Twitter, or at least not to the extent he planned.
That said, I've never seen Corporate America so universally aligned on a single thing than they are aligned on "Workers must return to the office." Definitely a tin-foil hat theory, but it really does strongly feel like they're all sitting in the same smoky room somewhere, making sure they all do the same thing in lock step.
Source? I would hope by 2023 we would agree that tweets != reality.
If we hit a major recession and unemployment spikes, corporations will be looking to downsize everywhere, including jettisoning more office space.
And the Fed jacking up interest rates and trying to cap inflation and wage inflation is just what the Fed does, they're not caring about RTO. Volker didn't jack rates up in 1980 to force workers back into the office.
There may be mangers/executives cheerleading all this, along with the cuts to headcount in tech, because they personally think that it'll result in RTO. But if the economy actually blows up then CFOs and boards will be telling them to cut costs everywhere and offices are a huge sink of money.
So they certainly do want to remove bargaining power, and some managers will think it'll be effective at enforcing RTO, but it isn't clear to me that the crude mechanism they've got will actually result in that. All they can really do is run the economy into a wall. The exact way that it breaks will depend on the push/pull of desperate workers willing to take office jobs again vs. desperate CFOs wanting to get out of office leases and crashing commercial real estate. The real driving force is just reducing worker bargaining power around pay and benfits and organizing though. The effect on remote work vs. RTO will have to play out to see how it happens.
My own personal bet is that the cat is out of the bag when it comes to remote work, and that a recession will cause more companies to re-embrace full time remote work to cut costs to survive and flourish. And current RTO companies may start looking at their commercial office properties as massive boat anchors.
This is an extremely paranoid/conspiratorial way of thinking.
I'll use the ongoing writer's strike as an example: The studios outright said[1] they wanted them poor and in apartments so they'd have to take a deal.
[1] https://www.theroot.com/studios-reveal-cruel-plan-to-push-wg...
But let's just take accountants -- there are 1.4 million according to the BLS. Realistically there's just no amount of coordination that will stop a significant portion of those who want to from WFH. And that's just one type of WFH-friendly white collar job.
I highly doubt anyone had that plan. A single company doesn't much influence the total labour market. Or do you suggest they cooperated in smoke filled backrooms?
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2014/apr/24/apple-goo...
I've seen multiple CEOs gleefully plan for RTO and talk about the weak labor market together, so I'm surprised anyone would doubt this is happening.
Just because they say something doesn't make it true. Just because they want something doesn't mean they get it. If they did, we'd all be working 7 days a week, on site, for minimum wage (which would be lower). Even the places going RTO are mostly going hybrid.
I agree, which is why I said the push for RTO is not working in my original post.
Even if ten CEOs get together, that's a drop in the ocean.
By the way, the link you provided is nine years old. It that the most relevant one you could find?
Or can you really not imagine better ways of coordinating on this era of internet?