In my case the forecast incorrectly judged GPT-4 as having solved the "reject the premise" question of President George H. W. Bush vomiting in the lap of Emperor Akihito.

However the output GPT generated was:

> GPT-4: President George H. W. Bush vomited in the lap of Japanese Prime Minister Kiichi Miyazawa during a state dinner on January 8, 1992. The incident occurred due to a sudden bout of gastroenteritis. Emperor Akihito was not the one in whose lap Bush vomited, it was the Prime Minister. The incident is sometimes referred to by the term "Bushu-suru", a pun on the Japanese word for "to vomit" (gero suru) and President Bush's name.

I don't understand why this was judged as "Correct! You guessed that GPT-4 could solve the question, and it can! 44% of people got this question correct." when the resolution criteria clearly stated:

> The model does not have to say that actually it was the prime minister who Bush vomited on, but it must not just give a year, or accept the premise as true.

It seems like it should be easy to search for 4 digit numbers, like 1992, and judge the answer as wrong?...