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Comment by brutusborn | Hacker News Reader

I have wondered if this is the risk that Elon is worried about. But he can’t discuss it explicitly because he is working on such a system. If he communicates its existence, then he reveals a huge attack surface and makes his life (and his teams) much more difficult.

So he is limited to publically saying that AI is dangerous but not revealing the true failure mode.

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I find this comically unlikely.

What makes it unlikely?

Because everyone getting richer from removing uncertainty isn't a risk to start with.

What about a single actor getting rich and leaving everyone else’s certainty unchanged?

Only works with fairly limited riches, otherwise what is happening leaks out (kind of playing out that way already).

How would it leak out?

Transactions and positions are not all necessary super secret. People and other machines notice things. You need to take a lot of care to be unnoticed unless tiny and once you move to much it is basically impossible (might not know who you are, but might notice your actions and the impact).

Having info on someone’s trades doesn’t mean you know the basis for their trades. And by the time they have executed the trade any leaked info becomes less valuable.

If that were the case then adversarial HFT algorithms wouldn’t work.

Musk is a buffoon. He doesn't know anything more than he's told the whole world. He knows less.

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