> Maduro (Venezuela) sees what Putin is doing, and how the West is maybe half supporting Ukraine, and sees an opportunity to do the same to their neighbor

I'm sorry, I'm completely lost on what exactly you think about the Russian adventure in Ukraine is worth emulating. It's been a disaster for Russia. Ukraine too, obviously, but no way would Putin do this again if he knew a two-year stalemate and global shaming of his vaunted army was going to be the result.