The confusion, I think, is that many people see opportunity as luck, especially so when that opportunity was grasped by someone else.
Also even if luck is a stable quantity, it's helped by attempts at success.
Also even if luck is a stable quantity, it's helped by attempts at success.
Other words, the odds don’t care about your luck.
If I go to a job interview and at the end of it, the person says “ok, I’m gonna flip this coin — guess the outcome and you get the job”. I guess — I miss.
Then they say “want to guess again?”
Repeat until I get the job.
Probability has an effect on outcomes, but only insofar as the chances you’re willing to take. Luck is just an observation of a single outcome.
You’re artificially predicting a positive outcome. You said “repeat until I get the job“. But you could be very unlucky person and keep sitting there flipping and flipping the coin and never guessing right. I’m not saying to not keep trying. I’m saying your certainty of positive outcome is false.