Go directly to jail. Like… Monopoly? It still feels arbitrary to me. If two is recidivism then so is three right? So is three be life? That doesn’t seem right. Shouldn’t we be trying to minimize recidivism?
I think the idea is that a "good" person can still have a (small) rate of criminality. If you kill after one crime you'll kill many good people, if you do so after 2 you'll still kill good people. But the odds of a good person committing 3 crimes are low enough to go for it.
If you wanted to minimize recidivism you’d have a life sentence for every crime.
Only if we ignore crimes committed in prison.
Solitary confinement and/or death penalty then.
Obviously, minimizing recidivism isn’t our only requirement.