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Bartek from the Deno team here - we are actively working on improving experience running NextJS projects in Deno.

NextJS doesn't have an incentive to run on anything else than Vercel. I wouldn't blame this on Deno.

I wonder if Vercel might eventually choose to run on Deno

Even if Vercel was built on Deno, I don't see them open sourcing that. Everything that manages distributed cache, edge rendering... They'd probably rather keep that closed and available only for Vercel customers.

I think you're pointing the wrong finger here.

The NextJS team should be working on making NextJS run better with Deno, not the other way around. If the NextJS team doesn't want to do the heavy lifting with that support, thats on them. I think its perfectly reasonable that the Deno folks have an approximate alternative to NextJS. After all, NextJS won't use native Deno idioms for example, it'll always be tied to Vercels' proprietary cloud infrastructure.