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I have never met a losing poker player. It is always the same story.

Do you know how you can tell everyone is largely full of shit when it comes to poker?

No one ever talks about the rake. They are a winning player no matter what the rake and that obviously can't be true.

The other issue is the variance is so high in no limit that to converge to a true win rate in live full ring poker takes years of playing full time.

In this particular case I've just directly looked at the friend's pokertracker data, which includes rake values and then you just add rakeback to get the total. It's harder to cope oneself in an online setting where there's just a precise recording of all results.

I think you can safely assume that unless someone is part of the absolute poker elite, they are unlikely to be earning anything near the median software engineering income. It’s not impossible, but it would require access to some unusually soft high stakes games, and while such games do exist, they are typically invitation only.

Lower than software, but about $50/hr