You can smell the BS in such claims from miles away. 20 million jobs, really? Did they really take the trouble to analyse 20 million jobs, or did they just take a big number to make a mouthful? In reality, the authors did not even have 100 samples of some options. And that was based entirely on voluntary responses. What about controlling for other variables such as economic development or the effect of Section 174? Nope. What did the authors do about selection bias? Nothing. How about drilling down to a single example to see where AI has really replaced a coder? I doubt it.

What we are currently seeing is a poker game with huge stake. As Musk himself said, you have to spend billions every year, just to stay at the table. With such a massive investment but no certain outcome, hype and BS is spewed everywhere.

Which is flagged for good reasons…