> Extrapolating in a linear fashion, AI will do the last 10-20% in a few months or maybe a couple years
That's a hefty assumption, especially if you're including accuracy.
That's a hefty assumption, especially if you're including accuracy.
That's exactly what the comment is saying. People see AI do 80% of a task and assume development speed will follow a linear trend and the last 20% will get done relatively quickly. The reality is the last 20% is hard-to-impossible. Prime example is self-driving vehicles, which have been 80% done and 5 years away for the past 15 years. (It actually looks further than 5 years away now that we know throwing more training data at the problem doesn't fix it.)
Take what is 100% complete in one city and do it in another city.
Problem was solved… you just missed the boat.