- Russian influence will rise and dominate at least major parts of Eastern Europe
- China will expand its footprint in Africa and increase its ambition in Asia
- US and Japan will become more isolated than ever
Europe has effectively ceded it's position in Africa to others some time ago.
Aid based approach has led to little tangible benefit for locals, and even less for Europeans. Furthermore, conditions the recipient needed to fulfill were, and still are, often hard to accept for cultural and historical reasons. Add to it the lack of actual power projection and all you have is contempt.
It's pretty visible during any UN vote.
Simply put, investment beats aid, every single time.
The silver lining is that Russia is having it's own issues, not entirely different but similarly horrible. Namely demographic crisis, exacerbated by war and poor public health. There is also demographic crisis in China, however their government has been wise enough to not go to all out war.
Definitely not, given how russophobic Eastern Europe is. They had enough of Russia to last them several lifetimes of misery.
On the other hand, Western Europe, especially "neutral" Austria is a lot more pro-Russian than the East.
Russia can't even beat a country one third its own size despite petrol dollars and legacy military stock.
Their hybrid warfare has created massive social rifts and political instability across all major Western Democracies.
Unfortunately you do not need a lot of money to do evil, when the devil's whispers are enough to turn citizens of a nation against each other.